List of scientists opposing the mainstream scientific assessment of global warming

This is a list of scientists who have made statements that conflict with the mainstream scientific understanding of global warming as summarized by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and endorsed by other scientific bodies.

Climate scientists agree that the global average surface temperature has risen over the last century. The scientific consensus and scientific opinion on climate change were summarized in the 2001 Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The main conclusions on global warming were as follows:

  1. The global average surface temperature has risen 0.6 ± 0.2 °C since the late 19th century, and 0.17 °C per decade in the last 30 years.[3]
  2. "There is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities", in particular emissions of the greenhouse gases carbon dioxide and methane.[4]
  3. If greenhouse gas emissions continue the warming will also continue, with temperatures projected to increase by 1.4 °C to 5.8 °C between 1990 and 2100.[A] Accompanying this temperature increase will be increases in some types of extreme weather and a projected sea level rise.[5] On balance the impacts of global warming will be significantly negative, especially for larger values of warming.[6]

The listed notable scientists have made statements since the publication of the Third Assessment Report which disagree with one or more of the principal conclusions of the IPCC. Each scientist has published at least one peer-reviewed article in the natural sciences. The article need not have been written in recent years nor be in a field relevant to climate. She or he has made an attributable statement of disagreement in some forum (and is not merely included on a petition, survey, or list).

Contents

Scientists questioning the accuracy of IPCC climate projections

Scientists in this section have made comments that it is not possible to project global climate accurately enough to justify the ranges projected for temperature and sea-level rise over the next century. They may not conclude specifically that the current IPCC projections are either too high or too low, but that the projections are likely to be inaccurate due to inadequacies of current global climate modeling. Their views on climate change are usually described in more detail in their biographical articles.

Scientists arguing that global warming is primarily caused by natural processes

1979-2009: Over the past 3 decades, temperature has not correlated with sunspot trends. The top plot is of sunspots, while below is the global atmospheric temperature trend. El Chichón and Pinatubo were volcanoes, while El Niño is part of ocean variability. The effect of greenhouse gas emissions is on top of those fluctuations.
1860-1980: In contrast, earlier there was apparent similarity between trends in terrestrial sea surface temperatures and sunspots (related to solar magnetic activity: TSI varies slightly while UV and indirectly cosmic rays vary somewhat more).
Both consensus and non-consensus scientific views involve multiple climate change influences including solar variability and internal forcings, plus human influences such as greenhouse gas emissions and land use change.[15] However, they differ on issues such as how sensitive they think the climate system is to increases in greenhouse gases.[15][16]

Scientists in this section have made comments that the observed warming is more likely attributable to natural causes than to human activities. Their views on climate change are usually described in more detail in their biographical articles.

Scientists arguing that the cause of global warming is unknown

Scientists in this section have made comments that no principal cause can be ascribed to the observed rising temperatures, whether man-made or natural. Their views on climate change are usually described in more detail in their biographical articles.

Scientists arguing that global warming will have few negative consequences

Scientists in this section have made comments that projected rising temperatures will be of little impact or a net positive for human society and/or the Earth's environment. Their views on climate change are usually described in more detail in their biographical articles.

Dead scientists

The lists above only include living scientists. The following are dead. Their views on climate change are usually described in more detail in their biographical articles.

See also

Notes

  1. ^ In its 2007 assessment report, IPCC projected likely temperature rise for various hypothetical levels of future greenhouse gas emissions, known as "emissions scenarios". They reported that during the 21st century the global surface temperature is likely to rise a further 1.1 to 2.9 °C (2 to 5.2 °F) for the lowest emissions scenario used in the report, and 2.4 to 6.4 °C (4.3 to 11.5 °F) for the highest.[61]

References

  1. ^ Anderegg, William R L; James W. Prall, Jacob Harold, and Stephen H. Schneider (2010). "Expert credibility in climate change". PNAS. http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2010/06/04/1003187107.full.pdf+html. Retrieved 22 August 2011. 
  2. ^ Doran consensus article 2009
  3. ^ Climate Change 2001: Working Group I: The Scientific Basis p.5 – IPCC
  4. ^ Climate Change 2001: Working Group I: The Scientific Basis p.7 – IPCC
  5. ^ Climate Change 2001: Working Group I: The Scientific Basis p.8 – IPCC
  6. ^ Working Group II: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability p.958 – IPCC
  7. ^ Freeman Dyson, in correspondence with editor Steve Connor (25 February 2011), "Letters to a heretic: An email conversation with climate change sceptic Professor Freeman Dyson", The Independent, http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/letters-to-a-heretic-an-email-conversation-with-climate-change-sceptic-professor-freeman-dyson-2224912.html 
  8. ^ The Press Gets It Wrong Our report doesn't support the Kyoto treaty. Lindzen, Richard Opinion Journal (The Wall Street Journal) June 2001
  9. ^ There is no consensus on Global Warming appeared in The San Francisco Examiner July 2006 and in The Wall Street Journal, June 26, 2006, Page A14
  10. ^ The Climate Science Isn't Settled in The Wall Street Journal online, November 30, 2009.
  11. ^ Nils-Axel Mörner (30 Mar 2005), Economics of Climate Change: 12-ii Session 2005-06 Evidence to Select Committee on Economic Affairs, II, The Stationery Office, p. 269, http://books.google.co.uk/books?id=exvuVXd14M0C 
  12. ^ Paltridge, Garth (2009). the Climate Caper. Connor Court Publishing. ISBN 978-1-921421-25-9. http://books.google.com.au/books?id=FXNzPgAACAAJ&dq=climate+caper&ei=DCDQSuylA5-qkASewLz1DQ. 
  13. ^ Global Warming Is Not A Crisis
  14. ^ A Skeptical View of Climate ModelsTennekes, Hendrik from Science & Environmental Policy Project www.his.com/~sepp
  15. ^ a b Dr. Roy W., Spencer (2010). The Great Global Warming Blunder. Encounter Books. ISBN 1594033730. 
  16. ^ Roy Spencer. Global Warming 101
  17. ^ Russian academic says CO2 not to blame for global warming Russian News & Information Agency, January 2007
  18. ^ a b Sallie Baliunas. Warming Up to the Truth
  19. ^ Global Warming Science vs. Computer Model Speculation: Just Ask the Experts Capitalism Magazine, August 2002
  20. ^ Ian Clark (March 22, 2004). "Letter to the editor of The Hill Times". National Resources Stewardship Project. Archived from the original on February 10, 2009. http://web.archive.org/web/20090210070155/http://www.nrsp.com/clark_letter_22-03-04.html. Retrieved August 26, 2011. 
  21. ^ Chris de Freitas (May 9, 2006). "Chris de Freitas: Evidence must prevail". The New Zealand Herald. Archived from the original on May 23, 2006. http://web.archive.org/web/20060523043056/http://www.climatescience.org.nz/assets/2006510223000.CSC_News_3.PDF. Retrieved August 26, 2011. 
  22. ^ Phillip V Brennan (December 10, 2007). "New Study Explodes Human-Global Warming Story". Newsmax.com. Archived from the original on May 11, 2008. http://web.archive.org/web/20080511202654/http://www.newsmax.com/insidecover/global_warming/2007/12/10/55974.html. Retrieved August 26, 2011. 
  23. ^ The Cause of Global Warming and Predictions for the Coming Century Easterbrook, Don
  24. ^ The Tempest Achenbach, Joel The Washington Post May 2006
  25. ^ Raymond Brusca (January 12, 2009). "Professor denies global warming theory". http://www.dailyprincetonian.com/2009/01/12/22506/. 
  26. ^ William Kininmonth, Climate Change: A Natural Hazard, archived from the original on August 28, 2007, http://web.archive.org/web/20070828232605/http://lavoisier.com.au/papers/articles/climatechange.pdf, retrieved August 26, 2011 
  27. ^ Climate Science: Climate Change and Its Impacts National Center for Policy Analysis May 2006
  28. ^ Global warning? Controversy heats up in the scientific community Robinson, Cindy Carleton University Spring 2005
  29. ^ Scientists respond to Gore's warnings of climate catastrophe Harris, Tom Canada Free Press June 2006
  30. ^ Read the Sunspots Patterson, Timothy Financial Post June 2007
  31. ^ Wild weather ignites climate change debate
  32. ^ Segalstad, Tom. "What is CO2 – friend or foe?". http://www.co2web.info/Segalstad_ISMA_CO2.pdf. Retrieved 2009-07-04. 
  33. ^ Scafetta webpage
  34. ^ "Climate Change and Its Causes, A Discussion About Some Key Issues”
  35. ^ Carbon Dioxide or Solar Forcing? ScienceBits
  36. ^ Singer, S. Fred (April 22, 2005). "'Flat Earth Award' nominee's challenge to Chicken Littles". Christian Science Monitor. http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/0422/p08s01-coop.html. 
  37. ^ The Denial Machine CBC's Denial machine @ 19:23 – Google Video Link
  38. ^ William J Cromie (April 24, 2003). "Global warming is not so hot: 1003 was worse, researchers find". Harvard University Gazette. http://news.harvard.edu/gazette/2003/04.24/01-weather.html. Retrieved August 26, 2011. 
  39. ^ [1] Testimony of Roy W. Spencer before the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee on July 22, 2008
  40. ^ Svensmark, Henrik (2007). "Cosmoclimatology: a new theory emerges" (PDF). Astronomy & Geophysics 48 (1): 18–24. http://www.space.dtu.dk/upload/institutter/space/forskning/05_afdelinger/sun-climate/full_text_publications/svensmark_2007cosmoclimatology.pdf. Retrieved 19 December 2011. 
  41. ^ Celestial climate driver: a perspective from four billion years of the carbon cycle J. Veizer, Geoscience Canada, March 2005
  42. ^ On the Fundamental Defect in the IPCC’s Approach to Global Warming Research Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr. Research Group Weblog, June 15, 2007
  43. ^ "Climat: la prévention, oui, la peur, non" (in French). L'Express. May 10, 2006. Archived from the original on November 17, 2006. http://web.archive.org/web/20061117230538/http://www.lexpress.fr/idees/tribunes/dossier/allegre/dossier.asp?ida=452950. Retrieved August 26, 2011. 
  44. ^ The Increase in Global Temperature: What it Does and Does Not Tell Us Balling, Robert George C. Marshall Institute, Policy Outlook September 2003
  45. ^ Christy, John R.; Douglass, David H. (2009). "Limits on CO2 Climate Forcing from Recent Temperature Data of Earth" (PDF). Energy & Environment 20: 177–189. http://www.pas.rochester.edu/~douglass/papers/E&E%20douglass_christy-color.pdf. Retrieved 17 June 2011. 
  46. ^ Christy, John (2007-11-01). "My Nobel Moment". Wall Street Journal. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119387567378878423.html?mod=opinion_main_commentaries. Retrieved 2007-11-02. 
  47. ^ Petr Chylek (April 2002). "A Long Term Perspective on Climate Change". Heartland.org. Archived from the original on September 29, 2007. http://web.archive.org/web/20070929090808/http://downloads.heartland.org/2329bo.pdf. Retrieved August 26, 2011. 
  48. ^ Testimony before the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works December 2006
  49. ^ Global Warming Natural, Says Expert Zenit April 2007
  50. ^ Giaever, Ivar (2011-06-26). "De forunderlige klimamytene (The peculiar climate myths)" (in Norwegian). aftenposten.no. Aftenposten. Archived from the original on 2011-06-26. http://www.webcitation.org/5zjsYjOsu. Retrieved 2011-06-26. ""It is amazing how stable temperature has been over the last 150 years." translated from "Det er fantastisk hvor stabil temperaturen har vært de siste 150 år."" 
  51. ^ "Nobel Prize-Winning Physist Resigns Over Global Warming". Fox News. 2011-09-14. http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2011/09/14/nobel-prize-winning-physicist-resigns-from-top-physics-group-over-global/. Retrieved 2011-09-15. 
  52. ^ "Nobel Laureate Ivar Giaever Quits Physics Group over Stand on Global Warming". International Business Times. 2011-09-15. http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/214181/20110915/ivar-giaever-global-warming-climate-change-al-gore-ipcc-hoax-dissent-nobel-prize-winner-physicist-re.htm. Retrieved 2011-09-24. 
  53. ^ A Science—Based Rebuttal to the Testimony of Al Gore before the United States Senate Environment & Public Works Committee
  54. ^ Enhanced or Impaired? Human Health in a CO2-Enriched Warmer World. CO2 Science. November 2003, p. 30
  55. ^ a b Sherwood Idso CO2-induced Global Warming
  56. ^ Michaels, Patrick (October 16, 2003). "Posturing and Reality on Warming". CATO Institute. http://www.cato.org/research/articles/michaels-031016.html. Retrieved June 10, 2009. 
  57. ^ AUER EXPLAINS WHY HE BACKS CLIMATE SCIENCE COALITION New Zealand Press Association April 30, 2006.
  58. ^ Wisconsin's Energy Cooperative May 2007
  59. ^ M. Leroux, Global Warming – Myth or Reality?, 2005, p. 120
  60. ^ Do people cause global warming? Heartland Institute Environment News December 2001
  61. ^ WG1. "Chap 10, Executive Summary". IPCC. http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch10s10-es-1-mean-temperature.html. 

Further reading

External links